Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
