Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.