Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.