SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.13%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
69.3% ( -0.07) | 16.64% ( 0.02) | 14.06% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.73% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.24% ( 0.06) | 28.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.32% ( 0.08) | 49.68% ( -0.07) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.47% ( 0.01) | 7.53% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.99% ( 0) | 27.01% ( 0) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( 0.12) | 33.24% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% ( 0.13) | 69.85% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.66% 5-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 69.3% | 1-1 @ 7.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 16.64% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 14.06% |
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