SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
33.46% ( 0.13) | 24.21% ( 0.11) | 42.32% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.48) | 42.52% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.48) | 64.92% ( 0.47) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( -0.15) | 24.79% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% ( -0.21) | 59.36% ( 0.21) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( -0.3) | 20.26% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.38% ( -0.49) | 52.61% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 42.32% |
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