Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion Rovers win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albion Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albion Rovers would win this match.