Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.