Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.
