SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 21.74% | 22.72% | 55.54% |
| Both teams to score 55.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% | 44.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.61% | 34.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.9% | 71.1% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% | 15.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.02% | 44.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 5.81% 2-1 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 3.1% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.74% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 5.44% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-2 @ 9.25% 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-3 @ 5.69% 2-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.8% 0-4 @ 2.62% 2-4 @ 1.49% 1-5 @ 1.03% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.48% Total : 55.54% |
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