Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
