SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Spartans win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for East Fife in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | East Fife |
36.93% ( -0.19) | 25.96% ( 0.04) | 37.11% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.39% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% ( -0.16) | 49.97% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( -0.15) | 71.95% ( 0.15) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( -0.18) | 26.3% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.57% ( -0.24) | 61.42% ( 0.25) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( 0.01) | 26.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.71% ( 0.01) | 61.28% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.11% |
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