SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
40.48% ( -4.42) | 26.23% ( 0.37) | 33.29% ( 4.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.43% ( -0.11) | 51.57% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.64% ( -0.09) | 73.36% ( 0.09) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( -2.24) | 25.1% ( 2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.21% ( -3.2) | 59.79% ( 3.2) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( 2.73) | 29.27% ( -2.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.76% ( 3.23) | 65.23% ( -3.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.64) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.45)2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.95)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.69)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.47% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.66)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.8)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.48)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.47)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | PeterheadPeterhead | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 28 |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Spartans | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | StranraerStranraer | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
| 7 | East FifeEast Fife | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| 9 | Elgin CityElgin | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
| 10 | Clyde | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 7 |
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