Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
40.48% ( -4.42) | 26.23% ( 0.37) | 33.29% ( 4.05) |
Both teams to score 52.98% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.43% ( -0.11) | 51.57% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.64% ( -0.09) | 73.36% ( 0.09) |
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.9% ( -2.24) | 25.1% ( 2.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.21% ( -3.2) | 59.79% ( 3.2) |
East Fife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.73% ( 2.73) | 29.27% ( -2.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( 3.23) | 65.23% ( -3.24) |
Score Analysis |
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.64) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.95) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.69) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.47% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.8) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.48) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.47) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.29% |
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