Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
Result | ||
East Fife | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
38.58% ( -0.2) | 26.59% ( 0.21) | 34.82% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.11% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.19% ( -0.89) | 52.8% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.57% ( -0.76) | 74.43% ( 0.76) |
East Fife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.3% ( -0.53) | 26.69% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.05% ( -0.7) | 61.95% ( 0.69) |
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% ( -0.44) | 28.9% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% ( -0.55) | 64.78% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
East Fife | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.58% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.82% |
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