Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.