Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elgin City in this match.