Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.