Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.