Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.