Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.