Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.