Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.