Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stirling Albion in this match.