Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.
