SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 43.49% | 25.12% | 31.39% |
| Both teams to score 55.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% | 47.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% | 69.58% |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% | 21.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.04% | 54.96% |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% | 28.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.81% | 64.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.49% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.78% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.39% |
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