Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kelty Hearts in this match.