SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 40%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
40% ( -0.16) | 26.39% ( 0.04) | 33.61% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( -0.12) | 52.14% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( -0.11) | 73.85% ( 0.11) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% ( -0.14) | 25.61% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% ( -0.19) | 60.49% ( 0.2) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 0.02) | 29.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( 0.02) | 65.32% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.61% |
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