SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
40.4% ( 0.01) | 26.28% | 33.31% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.26% ( -0.01) | 51.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.49% ( -0.01) | 73.51% ( 0.01) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% | 25.21% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% ( 0) | 59.95% ( -0) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( -0.02) | 29.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( -0.02) | 65.31% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.07% 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.31% |
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