Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.