Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.