Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Elgin City win it was 2-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
