Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.