Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.