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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2020 at 12pm UK
Rugby Park
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Kilmarnock
0 - 2
Aberdeen


Tshibola (76')
Haunstrup (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hedges (52'), Cosgrove (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
25.79%27.95%46.26%
Both teams to score 44.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.05%60.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.04%80.96%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06%39.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4%76.6%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43%61.57%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 25.79%
    Aberdeen 46.26%
    Draw 27.94%
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 5.92%
2-0 @ 4.44%
3-1 @ 1.81%
3-0 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 25.79%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 14.04%
0-2 @ 9.35%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-3 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.38%
1-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 46.26%

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