Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
