Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
