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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
New Douglas Park
KL

Hamilton
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Callachan (73' pen.)
Fulton (79'), Stirling (85'), Owolabi (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McGowan (63'), Haunstrup (72')
Dikamona (29')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawKilmarnock
25.29%27.29%47.42%
Both teams to score 45.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.96%59.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.5%79.5%
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69%39.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99%76.01%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03%24.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39%59.61%
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 25.29%
    Kilmarnock 47.41%
    Draw 27.29%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.16%
2-1 @ 5.94%
2-0 @ 4.28%
3-1 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.33%
3-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 25.29%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 9.81%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 13.61%
0-2 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-3 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-4 @ 1.52%
1-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 47.41%

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