SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Aberdeen |
47.02% ( -0.1) | 23.82% ( 0.03) | 29.16% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.18% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( -0.08) | 42.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.08) | 65.02% ( 0.09) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -0.07) | 18.32% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.59% ( -0.12) | 49.4% ( 0.13) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% ( 0.01) | 27.54% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( 0.01) | 63.06% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 47.02% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.16% |
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