SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Copenhagen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Copenhagen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
73.53% ( -0.1) | 16.09% ( 0.05) | 10.37% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.62% ( -0.05) | 36.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.49% ( -0.06) | 58.51% ( 0.06) |
| Copenhagen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.49% ( -0.03) | 8.51% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.51% ( -0.09) | 29.49% ( 0.09) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.73% ( 0.07) | 44.27% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.65% ( 0.06) | 80.34% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Copenhagen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 2-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 73.52% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 16.09% | 1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 10.37% |
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