MX23RW : Friday, November 8 04:59:55
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Friday, November 8
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SM
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
KL

St Mirren
2 - 2
Kilmarnock

Olusanya (7'), O'Hara (41' pen.)
Mandron (16'), Taylor (47')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Watkins (11'), Ayunga (71' og.)
Ndaba (21'), Polworth (65'), Watson (90+1')
Wright (45+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-1 Kilmarnock

Although Kilmarnock have made a poor start to their campaign, their three wins out of four against St Mirren last season could count for something, along with the fact that the home side are also looking for their first win over Killie in 10 games. That being said, it would be a surprise if the away side were to leave St Mirren with all three points in the bag, so a draw could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
41.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.17% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)54.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.86% (0.012999999999998 0.01)76.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (0.022000000000006 0.02)32.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (0.026 0.03)68.91% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 41.98%
    Kilmarnock 31.11%
    Draw 26.9%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.98%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-3 Celtic
Sunday, August 25 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 St Mirren
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Brann 3-1 St Mirren
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 St Mirren
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-1 Brann
Thursday, August 8 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Copenhagen
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-0 Kilmarnock
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Motherwell 1-0 Kilmarnock (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Tromso 0-1 Kilmarnock
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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