SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
41.99% ( -0.02) | 26.9% ( -0) | 31.11% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.16% ( 0.02) | 54.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.86% ( 0.01) | 76.13% ( -0.02) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( -0) | 25.79% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.26% ( -0) | 60.74% ( 0) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( 0.02) | 32.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.09% ( 0.03) | 68.91% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.98% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.11% |
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