SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
46.68% ( 0.01) | 24.34% ( -0.02) | 28.98% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.26% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( 0.1) | 45.1% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( 0.1) | 67.44% ( -0.1) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( 0.05) | 19.43% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( 0.08) | 51.27% ( -0.08) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( 0.06) | 28.93% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.19% ( 0.07) | 64.81% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 28.98% |
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