SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
36.17% ( 0.13) | 24.87% ( 0.04) | 38.96% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.16% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% ( -0.17) | 45.11% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.54% ( -0.17) | 67.46% ( 0.17) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( -0.01) | 24.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( -0.01) | 58.91% ( 0.01) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0.16) | 22.99% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( -0.24) | 56.79% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.17% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.96% |
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