SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
42.33% ( 0.68) | 25.89% ( 0.08) | 31.78% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( -0.59) | 50.54% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( -0.52) | 72.46% ( 0.52) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( 0.08) | 23.69% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( 0.11) | 57.81% ( -0.11) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( -0.79) | 29.75% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( -0.97) | 65.82% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.78% |
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