SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
39.6% ( 0.13) | 26.28% ( 0.03) | 34.12% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.39% ( -0.16) | 51.61% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.6% ( -0.14) | 73.4% ( 0.14) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( -0) | 25.58% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.54% ( -0) | 60.46% ( 0) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( -0.18) | 28.76% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( -0.23) | 64.61% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.6% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.12% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
