Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
