SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
54.88% ( 0.08) | 23.32% ( -0.03) | 21.8% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.16% ( 0.06) | 46.85% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% ( 0.06) | 69.1% ( -0.05) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( 0.05) | 16.94% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% ( 0.09) | 47.02% ( -0.09) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.26% ( -0.02) | 35.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.49% ( -0.02) | 72.51% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 54.88% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.8% |
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