SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
42.2% ( 0.05) | 26.05% ( -0.02) | 31.74% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% ( 0.07) | 51.22% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% ( 0.05) | 73.06% ( -0.05) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( 0.06) | 24.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( 0.08) | 58.33% ( -0.08) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( 0.01) | 30.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.74% ( 0.01) | 66.26% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.2% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.75% |
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