Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
