Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.
