SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Hearts | 38 | 10 | 61 |
| 4 | Livingston | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 5 | Dundee United | 38 | -7 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ross County | 38 | -14 | 41 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 38 | -27 | 35 |
| 12 | Dundee | 38 | -30 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Dundee win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Dundee |
44.05% ( -0.04) | 28.34% ( 0.23) | 27.61% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.38% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.66% ( -0.84) | 61.33% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.76% ( -0.63) | 81.24% ( 0.63) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( -0.42) | 27.73% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% ( -0.54) | 63.3% ( 0.54) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( -0.62) | 38.58% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% ( -0.6) | 75.33% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.73% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.33% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.6% |
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