Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.65%) and 0-3 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.16) 
