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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The SMISA Stadium
LL

St Mirren
0 - 0
Livingston


Gogic (57')
FT

Kelly (25'), Forrest (37'), Fitzwater (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Mirren
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: St Mirren vs. Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Dundee
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Albion Rovers vs. Livingston
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: St Mirren 1-1 Livingston

On the back of two wins and clean sheets, St Mirren will back themselves to extend that record against opponents of a similar level to themselves. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore that Livingston's own good form, leading us to predict a competitive low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawLivingston
40.26% (3.49 3.49) 28.64% (-0.36 -0.36) 31.09% (-3.137 -3.14)
Both teams to score 45.15% (0.343 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.85% (0.726 0.73)61.15% (-0.732 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.89% (0.536 0.54)81.1% (-0.542 -0.54)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (2.481 2.48)29.73% (-2.486 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (2.909 2.91)65.79% (-2.916 -2.92)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (-1.848 -1.85)35.73% (1.842 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (-1.948 -1.95)72.5% (1.942 1.94)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 40.25%
    Livingston 31.09%
    Draw 28.64%
St MirrenDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 12.88% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.465 0.46)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.812 0.81)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.391 0.39)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.516 0.52)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.176 0.18)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 10.62% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.88 -0.88)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.416 -0.42)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.767 -0.77)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.375 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 31.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Mirren 2-0 Dundee
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 St Mirren
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Hibernian
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-4 Rangers
Sunday, April 10 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 4-2 St Mirren
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Dundee Utd
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-0 Hibernian
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-2 Livingston
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-2 Motherwell
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Livingston
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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